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Atlanta has made two additions and now have a full 40-man roster.
Both of these guys actually came from the Dodgers before landing with the Phillies. Garlick is 28 and Arano is 25
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Kyle Garlick had three hits in 22 at bats in 2020, but he did slug three home runs for the Dodgers in 2019 in 48 at bats. He absolutely crushed in AAA in 2019, notching a 1.057 OPS with 23 home runs and 25 doubles in 271 at bats. He’s certainly worth stashing in Gwinnett with that type of power, and he could potentially make an Adam Duvall esque leap to Atlanta.
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Alex Anthopoulos hasn’t made a splash move since before Thanksgiving, and while Atlanta fans sit on pins and needles waiting for the Dominican Slugger to make his decision, there are two other priority targets the Braves should still be hopeful for.
Mark Melancon essentially came to Atlanta in a salary dump, and even though I was really high on Tristan Beck, he has been worth the cost and then some.
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Melancon 2020: 22.2 IP, 9 ER, 23 K, 11 SV, 1.42 WHIP
Outside of these stats, Melancon dominated the 2020 playoffs. He gave up one untimely run over 6.1 innings but struck out five and only surrendered two hits. Melancon’s hefty $17 million salary in 2020 won’t be matched on his next contract, but the Shark is a vital piece to this Braves bullpen. While Melancon doesn’t HAVE to be the closer for the Braves, he presents a lot of versatility as a righty with AJ Minter’s resurgence and Will Smith finishing last season strongly.
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Luke Jackson is a fine option from the right side, but he’s difficult to trust. Chris Martin has dealt with untimely injuries the last two years. Darren O’Day had his club option declined, but I’d like to have him back for one more season. The only other impact righty that would leave in the ‘pen is Shane Greene, who also remains unsigned.
Shane Greene cost a pretty penny in 2019 with Joey Wentz going back to Detroit, but after a slow start, Greene was lockdown for the Braves. He only gave up eight earned runs over 27.2 IP. His 1.12 WHIP in high leverage situations undoubtedly led to a lot of wins in a tight division race with only 60 games. Considering the prospect cost given up to acquire him, bringing him back is critical in my eyes.
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I trust AA’s judgement — he let go of Josh Donaldson at the right time, but both of these guys seem like no-brainers to me. The bullpen was one of the best in the majors last season — a real strength in Atlanta for the first time in a forever. I don’t want to lose that over pennies. The Braves were so close to beating the Dodgers and getting back to the Fall Classic for the first time in over 20 years, and they’ll need another lockdown bullpen performance to get over that hump. Atlanta picked up Victor Arano off waivers from Philly, so maybe Anthopoulos can find another Tyler Matzek out of the bargain bin, but as we saw with Mike Soroka down the stretch, depth is going to be even more important with a full slate of games ahead.
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Victor Arano had a 0.86 WHIP for the Phillies in 2019 along with a 3.86 ERA in 4.2 IP. He did not appear in 2020 in the majors or minors after undergoing elbow surgery. Arano pitched 59.1 innings for the Phillies in 2018, and he was fantastic. He had a 2.73 ERA to go along with a 1.19 WHIP & 9.1 K/9. His 8.2 H/9 is a little high, but he’s also worth stashing if he’s healthy. I wouldn’t be shocked if he made the opening day roster if Atlanta doesn’t work something out with Shane Greene or Mark Melancon.
A full 40-man doesn’t take Atlanta out of the race for any free agents like Marcell Ozuna, and I think both of these guys are quality depth pickups, especially with key pen pieces unsigned & lack of a right-handed power bat.